01

The headline result: 77 short and 61 long windows

We first measured the regional wind resource without spot direction: 79 of 92 days contained at least two consecutive hours between roughly 4 and 15.4 m/s. Applying each shore's working wind sector left 77 days with at least one compatible spot.

Two hours is a minimum meteorological window, not a promise of a practical trip. Requiring six continuous hours to allow for travel, rigging and forecast uncertainty reduced the total to 61 days: 19 in June, 19 in July and 23 in August.

  • June: 25 days with a 2-hour window; 19 with a 6-hour window.
  • July: 25 days with a 2-hour window; 19 with a 6-hour window.
  • August: 27 days with a 2-hour window; 23 with a 6-hour window.
  • Total: 77 potential 2-hour days; 61 potential 6-hour days.
02

Potential days by spot

These are modelled calendar days containing at least one continuous window with a suitable spot-relative direction. They are not confirmed riding logs, and one day may count for several spots, so the rows must not be added together.

  • South Kronstadt — 53 days at 2 hours; 38 days at 6 hours.
  • Sosnovy Bor — 47 / 40.
  • Zelenogorsk — 46 / 38.
  • Dunes · TakeOff — 45 / 37.
  • Kurort — 45 / 37.
  • Solnechnoye — 43 / 37.
  • Baltiets — 37 / 20.
  • Okunevaya — 28 / 16.
  • Batareinaya Bay — 28 / 10.
  • Kokkorevo — 20 / 10.
  • Lakhta — 18 / 4.
  • Bolshaya Izhora — 17 / 8.
  • Smolyachkovo — 16 / 4.
03

Weight and equipment change the answer

The headline 77-day figure asks whether any ordinary kite size could work somewhere in the region. A 90 kg rider with only a 12 m² kite receives a stricter estimate. Using an indicative 6.2–11.8 m/s band produced 46 days with a two-hour window and 35 with a six-hour window.

A 75 kg rider with 7, 9, 12, 15 and 17 m² kites covers most of the accepted wind band, returning the headline 77 and 61 days. These figures describe modelled compatibility, not a manufacturer-specific personal recommendation.

04

Method

For every hour from 08:00 to 20:00 Moscow time, we compared historical ICON, ECMWF IFS and GFS series with ERA5 reanalysis. An hour qualified only when a strict majority of available datasets passed wind speed, gust and spot-direction rules; adjacent hours were then combined into continuous windows.

We also reviewed 15,259 WMO/SYNOP and 5,181 ULLI METAR records as independent regional quality controls, not as direct beach wind. The all-source to any-source spread was 69–83 days for the two-hour criterion and 53–72 for six hours.

  • period: 1 June–31 August 2026, 92 days;
  • daytime: 08:00–20:00 MSK;
  • baseline wind: 4.0–15.43 m/s, about 8–30 knots;
  • duration: at least 2 or 6 consecutive hours;
  • direction: the working sector of the individual shore;
  • decision: a strict majority of available meteorological series.
05

Sensitivity and interpretation

Raising the lower wind threshold from 4.0 to 4.5 m/s reduces the two-hour total from 77 to 73 days; at 5.0 m/s, 64 days remain. The headline is therefore a reproducible estimate under explicit rules, not a count of confirmed sessions or a universal number for every rider.

The practical lesson is geographical: compatible directions rotated between shores. Comparing all 13 spots created far more options than watching one beach. Before any real trip, check a fresh forecast and camera; on shore, reassess actual wind, direction, gusts, storms, water, obstacles, temperature, rescue, equipment and your own condition.

LINKS

Data and method references

  1. Open-Meteo — Historical Forecast API (ICON, ECMWF IFS and GFS)
  2. Open-Meteo — Historical Weather API and ERA5
  3. Iowa Environmental Mesonet — METAR archive
  4. RP5 — Saint Petersburg WMO/SYNOP archive
  5. Cabrinha Switchblade Apex — indicative wind ranges
  6. Airush Razor — indicative wind ranges
  7. Airush Ultra Team — indicative wind ranges
BOUNDARY

A forecast helps you plan; it does not clear you to launch

Before travelling, check data freshness. Before launch, assess actual wind, shore, obstacles, rescue, equipment and your own condition. The portal index is not a probability of a safe session.

Check upcoming conditions